Intermittent Reservoir Daily Inflow Prediction Using Stochastic and Model Tree Techniques (Record no. 10488)

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fixed length control field a
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control field OSt
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20191209153207.0
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fixed length control field 191209b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency AIKTC-KRRC
Transcribing agency AIKTC-KRRC
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 11094
Author More, Deepali
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Intermittent Reservoir Daily Inflow Prediction Using Stochastic and Model Tree Techniques
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Volume, Issue number Vol.100(3), Sep
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. New York
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Springer
Year 2019
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Pagination 439-446p.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. The present study depicts the applicability of model tree (MT) technique to a large data set having large number of zero values. It is also aimed to develop a model that results in simple equations as that of stochastic models. The performance of MT is compared with conventional autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. Forty-nine years of daily inflow data from Koyna Reservoir located in Maharashtra, India, are used for developing and testing the models. In this case study of developed MT models, the number of inputs is selected by trial and error and is varied from one lag to eight lags. Numerous MT models were developed by considering the model formulations of pruning and smoothing, whereas in ARIMA model, the number of inputs required for proper modeling is selected from autocorrelation function and partial autocorrelation function plots as well as through trial-and-error procedure. The performances of the developed models were evaluated using various statistical measures. On comparing the daily time step MT and ARIMA models, it is found that un-pruned and un-smoothed MT models performed better than ARIMA models. Even though the number of leaves (local linear equations with nonlinear way of finding them) is slightly larger, the low and peak values of the reservoir inflow are predicted better by MT model. From the results, it is concluded that for better modeling and to have a set of linear applicable equations for smaller time step reservoir inflow, MT technique can be a better choice than ARIMA model.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
9 (RLIN) 4621
Topical term or geographic name entry element Civil Engineering
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9 (RLIN) 4707
Co-Author Magar Rajendra B.
Relator term Guide
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Place, publisher, and date of publication Switzerland Springer
International Standard Serial Number 2250-2149
Title Journal of the institution of engineers (India): Series A
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
URL https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40030-019-00368-w
Link text Click here
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme
Koha item type Articles Abstract Database
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Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Permanent Location Current Location Shelving location Date acquired Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
          School of Engineering & Technology School of Engineering & Technology Archieval Section 2019-12-09 2020418 2019-12-09 2019-12-09 Articles Abstract Database
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