Application of time series analysis in forecasting coal production and consumption in the philippines (Record no. 19046)

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control field 20230327101036.0
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fixed length control field 230327b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency AIKTC-KRRC
Transcribing agency AIKTC-KRRC
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 20279
Author Parreño, Samuel John E.
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Application of time series analysis in forecasting coal production and consumption in the philippines
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Volume, Issue number Vol.13(1), Oct
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Chennai
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. ICT Academy
Year 2022
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Pagination 2798-2804p.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Energy is the backbone of a country’s economic and technological<br/>development. For a country to be competitive in the global market and<br/>secure sustainable development, energy must be efficiently used. The<br/>Philippines’s main source of energy is coal. Historical data shows that<br/>the country’s energy and coal consumption has been continuously<br/>increasing. With this, careful energy planning is required to develop<br/>policies that ensure sufficient energy supply in the future. This paper<br/>focuses on forecasting coal production and consumption in the<br/>Philippines. For the purpose of forecasting, the autoregressive<br/>integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is applied to reveal that<br/>ARIMA (1, 2, 0) is the best model to forecast coal production. For coal<br/>consumption, the best model identified was ARIMA (0, 2, 1). The<br/>models have undergone residual analyses and forecast evaluations to<br/>ensure that the ‘best’ models found are statistically appropriate models.<br/>The forecasts show that in the following years, Philippine coal<br/>production will decrease, while the coal consumption rate will increase.<br/>In addition, it is predicted that the Philippines will need to import a total<br/>of 133.1983 MMT of coal to meet the coal consumption from 2021 to<br/>2025.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
9 (RLIN) 4622
Topical term or geographic name entry element Computer Engineering
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title ICTACT Journal on Soft Computing (IJSC)
Place, publisher, and date of publication Chennai ICT Academy
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
URL https://ictactjournals.in/paper/IJSC_Vol_13_Iss_1_Paper_8_2798_2804.pdf
Link text Click here
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Articles Abstract Database
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Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total Checkouts Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     School of Engineering & Technology School of Engineering & Technology Archieval Section 27/03/2023   2023-0517 27/03/2023 27/03/2023 Articles Abstract Database
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